Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

17.5%

24h Change

-12.0 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 12.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-14 23:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $124,082
  • Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 17.5% · Sep 14, 11:00 PM

14% 35% 56% Sep 13 Sep 14 Sep 14 Sep 14 Current 17.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

17.5%

24h Change

-12.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

48 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 14, 11:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 17.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 25.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 25.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM 27.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM 26.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM 29.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-35.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$843.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$124.1K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 40
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 61
Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.