Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

68.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability rose 13.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 00:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $39,736
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 68.5% · Sep 19, 12:00 AM

31% 51% 72% Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 19 Current 68.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

68.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

125 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 68.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 34.0%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+34.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$403.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$39.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 43
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 63
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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