Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

52.5%

24h Change

+15.0 pp

Signal Score

46/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 15.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 00:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $123,563
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

52.5%

24h Change

+15.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

125 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	36.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	37.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+6.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$389.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$123.6K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.

Probability Momentum 50

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 64

Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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