Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+21.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 21.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 00:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $90,117
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 80.5% · Sep 19, 12:00 AM

54% 68% 83% Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 19 Current 80.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

80.5%

24h Change

+21.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

116 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 56.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 58.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+22.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$241.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$90.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

40

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 72
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 99
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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