Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+18.5 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 18.5pp; volume is 10.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 18.5pp
  • 24h volume is 10.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $90,165

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 19, 05:00 PM

80% 90% 100% Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+18.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

72 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.8%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.8%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 99.4%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM 98.7%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 98.6%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 98.4%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 98.3%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 98.2%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 97.4%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 96.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 96.8%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 94.3%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 95.8%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 95.6%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 94.7%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 97.2%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 91.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 94.2%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 93.2%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 89.3%
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM 89.0%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 91.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$138.5K

Volume vs Baseline

10.1x baseline

Liquidity

$90.2K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

87

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 62
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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