Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-13.0 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 13.0pp; volume is 24.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 13.0pp
24h volume is 24.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $91,822

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

136 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.3%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	3.8%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.1%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	5.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	6.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	5.3%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	10.1%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	9.7%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.8%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	6.3%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	9.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	15.3%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	15.9%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	32.3%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	7.3%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	13.1%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	15.8%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	15.8%
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM	12.2%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	18.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$253.2K

Volume vs Baseline

24.8x baseline

Liquidity

$91.8K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 43

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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