Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.4pp; volume is 9.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.4pp
  • 24h volume is 9.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $60,543

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 19, 05:00 PM

0% 3% 3% Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

54 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM 0.4%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.4%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.4%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.9%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.1%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.9%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.6%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.6%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 1.1%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 1.9%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 2.4%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 1.7%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 1.9%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 2.3%
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM 2.1%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 2.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.5K

Volume vs Baseline

9.1x baseline

Liquidity

$60.5K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.