Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?

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Current Probability

20.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 40.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $54,712
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 20.5% · Sep 15, 04:30 PM

16% 41% 66% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 20.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

20.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

33 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM 20.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 57.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 56.0%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 58.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 56.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 61.0%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-35.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$198.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$54.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 93
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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