Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

65.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

26/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 7.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $192,120
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

65.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM	65.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM	66.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM	63.0%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM	61.0%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM	59.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM	59.0%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	59.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$174.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$192.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 26/100.

Probability Momentum 23

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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