Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+56.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 56.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 18:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $647,620
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+56.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

80 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 06:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+37.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$625.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$647.6K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 80

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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