Szczecin: Facundo Acosta vs Daniel Galan

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

85.0%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 13.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $132,957
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 85.0% · Sep 15, 04:30 PM

71% 79% 86% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 85.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

85.0%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM 85.0%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 82.0%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 78.0%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 72.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$230.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$133.0K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 43
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 56
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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