Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

-12.0 pp

Signal Score

39/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 12.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 20:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $18,155
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Sep 19, 08:15 PM

46% 53% 61% Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 47.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

-12.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

52 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 56.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$89.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$18.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.

Probability Momentum 40
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 55
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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