Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

3.4%

24h Change

-33.1 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 33.1pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $124,597
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.4% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

0% 20% 41% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 3.4% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

3.4%

24h Change

-33.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

77 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 3.4%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 12.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-34.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$138.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$124.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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