Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

12.0%

24h Change

-36.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 36.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $34,562
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

12.0%

24h Change

-36.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

78 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM	12.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-35.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$138.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$34.6K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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