Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

62.5%

24h Change

+18.0 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability rose 18.0pp

Market data

Updated 22 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $35,806
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 62.5% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

43% 54% 64% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 62.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

62.5%

24h Change

+18.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

146 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 62.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$321.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$35.8K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

36

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 60
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 83
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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