Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

56.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $388,260
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 56.5% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

56% 59% 61% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 56.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

56.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

73 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 56.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 57.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 60.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 60.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 58.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 56.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 56.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$129.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$388.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 27, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 55
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.