Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-28.6 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 28.6pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 15:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $42,985
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 20, 03:45 PM

0% 24% 47% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-28.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 03:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.2%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.7%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.1%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 1.1%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM 1.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.6%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.3%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 1.6%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 1.3%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 2.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 3.1%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 3.4%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 2.2%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 6.4%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 12.1%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 11.8%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 10.6%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 8.2%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 9.8%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 28.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 24.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$169.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$43.0K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 95
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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