Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

-32.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 32.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 11:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $176,593
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

40.5%

24h Change

-32.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

38 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/15/2026, 11:15:00 AM	40.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM	55.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM	65.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM	65.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM	65.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM	65.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM	68.0%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM	69.0%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM	68.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM	68.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM	70.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-15.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$334.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$176.6K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 68

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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