Will England win on 2026-09-17?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-56.0 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 56.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $101,868
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-56.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

4d of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM	0.1%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	55.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	56.0%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	55.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	56.0%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM	59.0%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	58.0%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	58.0%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	56.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	55.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	54.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$145.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$101.9K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

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