Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?

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Current Probability

23.3%

24h Change

-7.9 pp

Signal Score

26/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 7.9pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $21,342
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 23.3% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

2% 25% 48% Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 23.3% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

23.3%

24h Change

-7.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

81 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 23.3%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 10.4%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 18.4%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 23.6%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 20.9%
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM 32.1%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 28.0%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 43.0%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 21.8%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 13.2%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 10.7%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 7.3%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 8.6%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 6.7%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM 7.0%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 7.1%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 6.0%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 7.0%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 7.4%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 14.1%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 13.2%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 14.3%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 9.0%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 30.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$87.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$21.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

25

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 26/100.

Probability Momentum 26
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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