Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-77.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 77.5pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 18:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $755,266
  • Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 16, 06:00 PM

0% 43% 85% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 0.1% · 3d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-77.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

64 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 06:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/16/2026, 1:15:00 PM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 7:15:00 AM 36.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 37.0%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 37.0%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 34.0%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 37.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-38.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$279.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$755.3K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 70
Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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