Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+69.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability rose 69.0pp

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 16:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $141,777
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 24, 04:45 PM

21% 60% 100% Sep 23 Sep 24 Sep 24 Sep 24 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+69.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM 100.0%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM 28.0%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM 30.5%
9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+40.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$141.8K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 75
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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