Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-34.4 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 34.4pp

Market data

Updated 57 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $224,663
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

0% 19% 38% Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 0.1% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-34.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

153 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 3.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 16.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 30.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 30.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-16.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$312.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$224.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 27, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 69
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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