Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?

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Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+31.9 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 31.9pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 12:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $30,104
  • High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Sep 21, 12:15 PM

64% 82% 100% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 21 Sep 21 Current 99.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+31.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

140 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 12:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/21/2026, 12:15:00 PM 99.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM 99.2%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.6%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM 98.6%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM 93.8%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM 93.4%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM 93.1%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM 90.7%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM 90.6%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM 88.8%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM 80.8%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM 90.0%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 84.3%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM 84.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 79.0%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 82.1%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 83.8%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 82.0%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 82.3%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 85.4%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 77.8%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 72.4%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 69.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$153.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$30.1K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 41
Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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