Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-24.4 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 24.4pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $37,455
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-24.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

5d of stored history

65 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	14.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	19.9%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	7.0%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	8.2%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	7.8%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	7.9%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	7.3%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	9.7%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	8.7%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	4.4%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	9.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	11.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	15.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	18.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	19.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	18.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	24.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$124.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$37.5K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 82

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

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