Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+10.5 pp

Signal Score

32/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 10.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $207,586
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 18, 04:30 AM

89% 94% 100% Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 18 Current 100.0% · 3d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+10.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

28 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.8%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.8%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 95.9%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 97.7%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 93.2%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 94.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 94.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$116.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$207.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 32/100.

Probability Momentum 35
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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