Biella: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

20.1%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 11:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $139,253

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 20.1% · Sep 15, 11:15 AM

8% 34% 60% Sep 14 Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 20.1% · 17h of stored history · 19 pts

Current

20.1%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 11:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 11:15:00 AM 20.1%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 12.2%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.0%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.0%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.0%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.0%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-35.4 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$330.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$139.3K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.