Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

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Current Probability

44.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 1.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 00:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $194,180
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 44.5% · Sep 16, 12:00 AM

44% 47% 47% Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 16 Current 44.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

44.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.0%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.0%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.0%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$255.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$194.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 16, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 80
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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