Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

4.9%

24h Change

-18.6 pp

Signal Score

55/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 18.6pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $198,740
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 4.9% · Sep 16, 10:45 PM

2% 18% 35% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 4.9% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

4.9%

24h Change

-18.6 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM 4.9%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 32.0%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 20.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 21.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 22.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-13.6 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$315.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$198.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

38

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.

Probability Momentum 62
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 84
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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