Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?

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Current Probability

43.5%

24h Change

+19.9 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 19.9pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 11:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $12,172
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

43.5%

24h Change

+19.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

119 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM	43.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	45.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	58.9%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	56.4%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	26.7%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	28.7%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	29.1%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	37.6%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	38.0%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	36.4%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.0%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	66.3%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	60.6%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	64.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	75.3%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	64.3%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.0%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.6%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	46.2%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.1%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	37.9%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	36.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-15.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$12.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 66

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (68)

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