Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

57.5%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability rose 11.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $106,237
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

57.5%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

48 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM	57.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	34.0%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	81.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	42.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$689.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$106.2K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 37

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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