Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.0%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Low liquidity ($634)
  • Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.0% · Sep 16, 10:45 PM

47% 49% 52% Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 16 Sep 16 Current 47.0% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

47.0%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

28 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM 47.0%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM 51.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$184.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$634

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 16, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 75
Persistence 63
Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.