Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+48.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 48.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $817,657
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 17, 04:30 PM

27% 63% 100% Sep 16 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+48.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 63.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 64.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 64.0%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/17/2026, 11:15:00 AM 65.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.0%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM 62.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 61.0%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 62.0%
9/17/2026, 4:15:00 AM 62.0%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 63.0%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.0%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM 61.0%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 60.5%
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM 61.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM 59.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+36.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$453.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$817.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 85
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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