Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-12.5 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 12.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 16:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $159,211
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-12.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM	4.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	26.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	28.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	17.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	17.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	17.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	18.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	18.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM	19.0%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM	19.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM	17.0%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	17.0%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	16.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	17.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	17.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	17.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$485.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$159.2K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 42

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 71

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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