Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

71.5%

24h Change

+10.0 pp

Signal Score

39/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability rose 10.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $121,902
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

71.5%

24h Change

+10.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	71.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	64.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$289.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$121.9K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.

Probability Momentum 33

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 65

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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