Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 2.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 22 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $101,568
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Sep 23, 12:00 AM

31% 34% 36% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Current 31.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

146 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 33.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 33.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$129.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$101.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 29, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 80
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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