Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 46.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $115,618
Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.2%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	96.7%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	96.8%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	96.3%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	96.9%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	96.6%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	96.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	89.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	83.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	79.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	81.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	76.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	61.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	40.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$181.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$115.6K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 40

Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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