Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice Tubello

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

18.5%

24h Change

-31.0 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 31.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 10:53 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $127,141
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

18.5%

24h Change

-31.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	18.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	66.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-34.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$140.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$127.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 95

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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