Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

Open · Resolves in 38 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

85.5%

24h Change

+9.0 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 9.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 07:34 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $71,668
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

85.5%

24h Change

+9.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

141 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM	85.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM	85.3%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM	86.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM	86.6%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM	86.6%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM	87.1%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM	87.4%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM	88.8%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM	88.6%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM	87.2%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM	86.9%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM	86.0%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM	86.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM	86.3%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM	85.6%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM	91.7%
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM	93.9%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	92.7%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	91.7%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	93.3%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	94.0%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	95.7%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	92.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	93.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$71.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 38 days

End Date

Nov 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 30

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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