Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

12.5%

24h Change

-25.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 25.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 10:53 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $121,712
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

12.5%

24h Change

-25.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM	12.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	30.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	30.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	35.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	35.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	35.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	35.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	34.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	34.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	34.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	35.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	35.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	35.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	35.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	35.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	37.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	37.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	37.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	37.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-18.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$113.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$121.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 85

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 82

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗