Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 48.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $43,156
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 23, 12:00 AM

0% 28% 56% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Current 0.1% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-48.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

123 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-50.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$79.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$43.2K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.