Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+26.8 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 26.8pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $68,355
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+26.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

122 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM	100.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	93.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	70.2%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	71.2%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	76.0%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	77.8%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	86.2%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	80.0%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	77.8%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	77.3%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	79.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	79.3%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	77.7%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	81.2%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	80.2%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	75.3%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	71.2%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	70.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	71.1%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	65.6%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	72.9%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	70.6%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	74.4%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	63.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+29.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$92.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$68.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 89

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 94

Data Confidence High (78)

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