Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 49.5pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $147,889
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 18, 04:30 AM

43% 72% 100% Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 18 Current 100.0% · 1d of stored history · 24 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

1d of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM 100.0%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 87.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.0%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$110.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$147.9K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 61
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.