Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

78.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 00:00 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $112,443

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 78.0% · Sep 18, 12:00 AM

74% 77% 79% Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 18 Current 78.0% · 19h of stored history · 20 pts

Current

78.0%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

19h of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 78.0%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 77.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 76.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 76.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 76.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$115.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$112.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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