Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

43.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 22:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $385,935
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 43.5% · Sep 23, 10:45 PM

43% 46% 46% Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 23 Sep 23 Current 43.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

43.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

153 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM 43.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$94.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$385.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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