Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

28.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 22:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $413,273
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 28.5% · Sep 23, 10:45 PM

28% 31% 32% Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 23 Sep 23 Current 28.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

28.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$105.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$413.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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