US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Current Probability
62.5%
24h Change
+2.0 pp
Signal Score
37/100
Data Confidence
High (86)
24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 2.0pp
- 24h volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $142,939
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
62.5%
24h Change
+2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$130.8K
Volume vs Baseline
1.9x baseline
Liquidity
$142.9K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Attention Score
40
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 37/100.