Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?

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Current Probability

99.8%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability rose 0.1pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 11:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $36,682
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.8% · Sep 24, 11:15 AM

99% 101% 100% Sep 23 Sep 23 Sep 24 Sep 24 Current 99.8% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

99.8%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 11:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/24/2026, 11:15:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM 99.6%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM 99.7%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM 99.7%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM 99.8%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.7%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM 99.7%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM 99.7%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM 99.7%
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM 99.7%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.4%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 99.4%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 99.4%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 99.3%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM 99.2%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM 99.3%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.3%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$86.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$36.7K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 60
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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