Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+43.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 43.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $20,635
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+43.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	97.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	94.0%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	93.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	93.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	88.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	89.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	88.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	84.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	76.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	72.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	77.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	81.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	79.0%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	87.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	62.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	73.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	75.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	69.0%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	73.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	61.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$150.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.6K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

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