Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+34.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 34.5pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $22,746
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+34.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	97.9%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	98.0%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	97.9%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	97.9%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	97.9%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	98.7%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	98.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	97.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	95.6%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	94.7%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	95.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	88.0%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	95.0%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	85.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	90.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	90.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	90.0%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	91.0%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	80.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$101.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$22.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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